I would expect the delays in SoCal to be horrible during the coming year. ZOA (Oakland Center) is short over 100 ATCS's. However the FAA says they are full staffed, why? They have over 120 Trainees, a trainee is not a CONTROLLER! He/she cannot work alone EVER, except on positions they are already certified on, which given the lack of people to train, is very few if any.
And really the FAA did this on purpose. The planned this all out, and now they realized they shot themselves in the foot. Dont believe me that the FAA intentionally set all this up, read this and then download the document thats posted and read that:
http://themainbang.typepad.com/blog/2007/12/blueprint-for-c.htmlHere is the document and the post in short;
1 ) to become a controller, the FAA until 2006, required you to go to a CTI school, of which there were only 11 in the country. In some cases those degrees (like mine) ran close to 100k
2 ) the FAA refused to hire all those grads starting in about 1998 and hired a total of 4 developmentals between 98 & 2005
3 ) thus the FAA created a HUGE pool of very desperate college grads that couldnt use their degrees in anything but ATC, since our degrees are so specialized and no one else employess controllers but the FAA (contract towers require on average 5 years experience and several licenses that you cant get till you are an FAA controller, and DoD jobs are the same)
4 ) in 2006 the FAA and NATCA had the big fall out and in turn the FAA imposed their contract. Now the juicy stuff starts...
5 ) because congress failed to act, the FAA cut new controller pay by over 30%, thus reducing my starting salary at the academy to about 8 bucks an hour, and me as a AG at my facility to about 32k a year. Considerably less than the 70k they told me when I signed up for this degree
6 ) since this large pool of very in debt college grads is sitting around, we'll take just about anything anyone throws at us, and so we did, they are hiring CTI grads as fast as they can, however the schools (which the FAA also increased in 2007 to 33 from 11) cant produce enough, solution?
7 ) off the street hiring, now you no longer need a degree to do this job. any one of you, thats a US citizen and not over the age of 31 (thou they have waived some people) can apply, take the AT-SAT and probably see Oklahoma before I do, this now creates a rift between the CTI guys and the OTS guys, we're pissed off that we spent all this money and the FAA lied to us
8 ) since the FAA now has enough bodies to 'fill' facilities, lets screw over current controller, the FAA cut their pay, took away incentive pays, and all kinds of other things, this now has the ATCS's pissed off too, so after 20 years they are saying buhbye, which after Reagan hired the new guys is right about NOW!
9 ) now that many ATCS's are jumping ship, you are seeing staffing ratios go way down, and new developmentals aren't getting proper training. Further more since the new guys dont have experience the system doesn't run as smoothly as before. To ensure separation a new CPC might throw in a couple extra miles to make sure there is no chance of having a deal. And the more new guys we put in, the worse this is going to get.
10 ) The FAA now has what it wants, a completely divided workforce that hates each other, as well as the FAA. In a recent survey by the OBM, the FAA ranked the SECOND worst place in the Federal Government to work. Thats pretty bad folks when even the postal service can beat us. (That was a joke btw, they are a pretty sweet gig if you can be a letter carrier)
In a more recent post by one of my friends an FAA manager actually comes out and says that the FAA isn't adequately training newly certified controllers.
http://www.faafollies.com/?p=374The FAA created this problem, and its getting worse. We havent even begun to see the bottom of this downward spiral. Hopefully we're flying a Cirrus and we can pull the chute.